Solana, a prominent cryptocurrency, closed with a notable weekly return drop of 19.14% at the end of August, marking its second-worst performance in 2024. This downturn follows an even more significant drop of 25.19% recorded in July. The derivatives market has been particularly influential in driving the current price dynamics. Will Solana’s Price Drop Below $100 in September?
As the cryptocurrency faced a downturn, the derivatives market took a leading role. Last week saw a sharp 12% reduction in Solana’s open interest (OI) within a single day, following a price decline below $150.
Despite further price decreases, OI has subsequently increased by 20%. This rise during a market drawdown suggests aggressive short-selling among futures traders.
Adding to the bearish outlook, the funding rate for Solana has remained negative for the longest stretch in 2024, currently standing at -0.001. This prolonged negative rate, the lowest this year, underscores a prevailing bearish sentiment in the market.
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Onchain metrics for Solana reveal a decrease in activity, with Dune Analytics reporting a six-month low of $7.7 billion in weekly DEX volume.
Earlier in the year, Solana frequently surpassed Ethereum in daily DEX volumes and achieved over $3 billion in 24-hour trading volumes. However, recent market trends have not been as favorable.
Throughout 2024, Solana demonstrated a significant correlation with Bitcoin, which previously helped it outperform Bitcoin in the first quarter.
Despite this correlation holding, the current market stance has led to larger drawdowns for Solana compared to Bitcoin. Bluntz_Capital, an independent trader, has suggested on social media that the SOL/BTC pairing appears poised for further declines, possibly testing lower support levels.
Currently, a critical support for Solana stands near $127. Should the price fall below this point, the next target would be $110, representing a key liquidity zone. A recovery from $110 could signal a potential rally, providing a much-needed reprieve for investors. Will Solana’s Price Drop Below $100 in September?
However, if bearish trends persist into September, Solana could retest lower demand zones between $98 and $104, potentially leading to a reevaluation of its market position as the year progresses.
This market behavior underscores a critical period for Solana, as it navigates through bearish pressures and tests key support levels, determining its trajectory for the remaining quarters of the year.
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